Obama at the Crossroads

The Facts on the Ground
- President Barack Obama was elected in an atmosphere of chaos seeking change.
- At inauguration, President Obama scored extremely high in approval polls.
- As the honeymoon period draws to a close, President Obama's approval rating is dropping, indicating a growing dissatisfaction with policies put forth by his administration

Overview
The average person, observing the puffed up pride of America at the inauguration of President Barack Obama would have been tempted to buy into the hype that we had entered into a new age in America - an age when racial issues, poverty, ignorance and even climate change could be tackled with ease by our new leader and his best and brightest advisers. It seems that way at the beginning of most new administrations - when the headiness of the win overshadows the enormous task undertaken. We have now completed nearly 7 months of the Obama Administration, and the bloom, as the saying goes, is off the rose. President Obama and those serving in the executive with him are finding the truth of the maxim of Alexander the Great, who was arguably the most powerful man in the western world at the height of the Greek Empire - "Conquering is easy, governing is hard."

In a review of Obama's first few months, the American public is a bit less enthralled by the common man from Illinois, who has tried to claim the mantle of both Lincoln and Kennedy. Even with a solid majority in Congress, he has found that passing his agenda has been at first easy with poor results (the ARRA "stimulus plan" - which has turned out to be less about fixing issues in the economy important to the public at large, and more about spurring on pet projects packaged as economic fixes). Candidate  Obama spoke in feel good rhetoric that was easy to support. That support though resembled parts of the Mississippi River – a mile wide and ankle deep. Support for many things evaporated in the harsh light of public scrutiny. He has now moved onto passage being difficult as America decides that the change it wants is not necessarily the change that Obama is offering. With the economy limping along, home prices still depressed, jobless numbers still on the rise, America seems uninterested in issues like the "cap& trade" climate bill, and outright hostile to government involvement in the healthcare system. This follows Obama's controverisial decisions to involve the government in the banking / stock industry with a series of "oops!" (executive bonuses, shaming on company jets or meetings, and incorrect projections on the scope of the economic problem) and taking virtual control of the American automobile industry. What political capital Obama has is being spent as unwisely as many a government budget. This provides a crossroads window of opportunity for Obama. He can choose to lock out the Republican minority (who has been remarkably ineffectual as an opposition force, and devoid of alternate ideas - they might want to work on that) and force his agenda through as did FDR; or he can choose to concentrate on the issues that Americans care about on an everyday basis - a stable and growing economy, and a return to the prosperous times that we had become accustomed to prior to the collapse of the stock and housing markets. For that he will need the Republicans, who seem to be on the side of the American people as far as their concerns on healthcare tinkering, and in reflecting the mood of the country on the large deficits that occurred under Bush 43 now turning into massive deficits that will burden not only our generation, but our children, and there's as well.

We cite two paths that reflect the mood of the country at this time. During the period of upheaval of the early 1970s - a time of war, bad economy, growing inflation and unemployment, distrust of the government, Watergate - the country signaled that it wanted change by electing Jimmy Carter in 1976 as the Washington outsider who would "change" things in DC. Carter, a principled man, would not "make friends" in Congress, would not negotiate on his proposals, and would not bend in accommodation. Though enjoying a majority in Congress, members at the time enjoyed a bit of give and take with their Republican counterparts in the spirit of getting things done. Carter's methods did not work well on Capitol Hill and the situation in America deteriorated further. As Americans sought practical and prudent action, Carter, with the best of intentions, took too many issues on, made too few friends, and provided nuance instead of a clear plan. He was thought to be vacillating and indecisive in the face of crisis, and was turned out on the simple catchphrase of Ronald Reagan - "Are you better off now than you were four years ago?". America, clearly, was not.

After the Reagan years, and the continuation of them (sort of) with Bush 41, America was again in a sea of change. The economy was about to meet up with the Savings and Loan "crisis", we had won the cold war and Gulf War I, but we had lost our identity. Being a lone superpower brought about a quest to define who America was in this new world situation - new thinking and new leadership was sought for a new time. Change again was the theme. Enter Bill Clinton with a bold agenda to remake us in the world - economic success, world peace, universal healthcare, and "two chickens in every pot". Clinton started with several initiatives on the environment, gay rights and the infamous Hillary health commission - and the electorate who backed Clinton as an agent of change, backed away and delivered him a Republican controlled House of Representatives in 1994. Clinton, at his crossroads looked to the example of Carter doggedly fighting for his agenda, and saw how badly it ended. Clinton decided on accommodation and cooperation with the Republicans and accomplished quite a bit with a prosperous economy, several free trade agreements, and the jewel of the Clinton presidency - welfare reform which brought record numbers of previously "unemployable" people into the workforce earning good pay. Clinton chose to pursue a constructive course relevant to the American public and was rewarded with a more generous assessment from history than Carter.

Common Sense Dictates
President Obama stands at a similar crossroads now. The rancorous extreme wings of his own party and that of the Republicans do not reflect the views of the vast majority of Americans - what Nixon termed the "great silent majority". America, as a society is far more conservative than the extreme left would have us believe, and far more liberal than the far right is comfortable with. Most Americans will support initiatives that stress personal responsibility aided with temporary assistance to achieve that personal responsibility. Most Americans do not see or even want the government to be our caretaker, but they do see a responsibility for those who have achieved to reach back and pull more forward. The American public holds the reasonable and prudent course of action.

Obama strives to project this harmony with the great silent majority, but he just can't seem to carry it off. His slide in the polls is typical of a president as the honeymoon phase ends, but the trend is pointing downward rather than to leveling off. It is reflective of the mind of America that in general, we want to be better, but in the specifics we want to be careful as to how we proceed. Wholesale changes to how "things are done" in America provide unease and fear rather than purposefulness. Compounding his error, people do not want to be sold on an idea that they just don't want. "If we just educate them, they will see that we are right" is a patronizing, and insulting attitude. Americans understand issues such as climate change, healthcare and immigration. They have ideas that need airing and discussion - not suppression or denial of validity. No one feels vindication for their ideas by a party line vote win - especially in a country divided near the 50% mark. The changing of major parts of the structure of American society requires the consent of an overwhelming majority of Americans - Democrats, Republicans and Independents. To do otherwise is to impose a tyranny of the majority on a sizable minority – which runs counter to the ideals of this country, and to Common Sense.


RLB
 

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  • 8/10/2009 9:39 PM traininvain wrote:
    Seems like you're advocating selling out your principles to make yourself "relevant". President Obama was elected because of the ideas he stands for - whether you agree with him or not, he won, so he gets to try his ideas. That's the way it works. I would hope he sticks to his guns - especially after Bush having a gun to all our heads for 8 years.
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  • 8/10/2009 9:46 PM govissue1996 wrote:
    This is what happens when you don't teach Civics or Government anymore. That is exactly NOT how it works. The President sets policy and the legislature decides whether the people they represent agree or disagree and vote accordingly. Otherwise the President would be called "King". The Founders were clear that though one man had to make some decisions, the people, through their representatives could overrule him. THAT'S how it works.
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  • 8/10/2009 10:08 PM adman12 wrote:
    Well, that was harsh, but accurate. A very important part of our system of government is that the majority can't just willy-nilly decide things without regard for those who disagree. Individual liberty is of supreme value under our system. Governing with the consent of the people is our hallmark. I would much rather see Democrats and Republicans sit down with a problem, contribute ideas and fix it - or not fix it, tha to have one side ram it down the throats of the other. We are supposed to be civilized and "better than that" - I'd like to see it demonstrated. And Bush held a gun to no one's head - the Dems came along willingly as Hillary acknowledged. There is no "evil" in the White House - just differing views on how to deal with the problems facing this country. Right now "just go shopping" seems like what Obama should be saying, but can't because he closed that door on himself.
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  • 8/11/2009 3:02 PM Randi wrote:
    Obama was elected by a lot of people to do what he is trying to do. To not do it would be to abandon those people who actually voted for him and cozy up with those who did not. I don't see that as a principled or even honest way to govern.
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  • 8/12/2009 3:11 PM crackerjack wrote:
    As much as I hate to say it - he was elected to be President of ALL of the people, not just the ones who voted for him. To dismiss those who don't agree with his policies will just alienate about half of the country, and heat them up to work harder against him. I wouldn't say Clinton was principled in his "cozying up" with the Republicans - but he did accommplish some things that were viewed well by both sides. Welfare reform was mentioned, the balanced budget was another. With the path Obama is on now, he seems destined for Carterville.
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  • 8/12/2009 4:27 PM moosejaw wrote:
    Yeah, I hate to admit that too. Still, if the big O wants any shot at being relected, he needs to hold those independents who are falling away like flies after you spray the Raid. That's sort of how it works - 40% go Democrat, 40% go Republican, and that 20 in the middle vote for who scares them the least. Right now, Obama looks plenty scary to them.
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  • 8/12/2009 4:30 PM bullfrog wrote:
    Cynical as it sounds, if he doesn't get a lot accomplished quick, he's going to need that second term to get anything done at all. Going all left wing isn't going to work to get him that second term. America as a whole just isn't as liberal as Nancy Pelosi or Scary Harry Reid. Survuval says play nice with the Republicans.
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  • 8/17/2009 12:55 PM Randi wrote:
    So it's OK for Bush to be pig-headed and push his agenda down our throats, but it's not OK for Obama to stick to his principles?
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  • 8/19/2009 11:37 AM govissue1996 wrote:
    So Bush is pig-headed, and Obama is principled... your bias is showing. And in the end, both men needed the other party. Bush got nothing done without the explicit or complicit support of the Democrats - including the Iraq War - where the onlt Dem Presidential candidate who didn't vote to authorize the war was conveniently not in office at the Federal level yet. In the end, you can only accomplish stuff by bringing as many on board as possible.
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  • 8/19/2009 11:44 AM kstowe wrote:
    I don't recall Lincoln trying to bring the South on board, or Roosevelt being all hugs and kisses to the republicans. In tough times it takes tough leaders to stand on principle, and to persuade the opposition why those principles are sound, and why those ideas are necessary. Making nice would have gotten us half a country that would still be in the Greeat Depression.
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  • 8/19/2009 11:51 AM crackerjack wrote:
    Lincoln and FDR did hang tough, and out of necessity - as did Truman and Reagan, and to as good degree W Bush. Sometimes the stakes are worth more than re-election. These were all (except for W) acknowledged as great men because of their ability to move the country along with them. Obama has come up short on his "stimulus" - claiming that it could be worse is no victory. On healthcare, the public just does not want government care. That's a 75 to 90 percent majority opposed depending on the poll. He is persuading no one. If you don't have the ability to bring people along, you wind up as a failed president. Or, you can work with the people and bring about some positive change anyway - like Bill Clinton. It's pretty much that simple.
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  • 8/19/2009 11:52 AM madhatr wrote:
    Crack - was that props for Clinton I heard? Never thought I'd see that day...
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  • 8/19/2009 11:54 AM crackerjack wrote:
    Yeah, never thought I'd see the day either, but compared to now, he wasn't so bad.
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  • 8/19/2009 5:18 PM slacker wrote:
    I never thought of Obama as much more than a pretty face in an empty suit. He ran his whole campaign on sunshine and platitudes. Now that he's in charge, the ideas he rammed through as necessary aren't justifying themselves, and his new urgent proposals are not anything the American public wants any part of. I don't think he's got the principles to fight for what he wants, and I don't think he's smart enough to do a Clinton. He reminds me of Bush Sr. All of that effort to get elected, and not a clue as to what to do when he became President. Bring on the slate for 2008. There's nothing here to see.
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  • 8/23/2009 11:00 AM patrick wrote:
    Obama has spent his political capital pretty foolishly, and is now in the hole to Pelosi and Reid. Rather than go with the desires of the majority of Americans (like it or not, he was elected by a majority) he drove his "fixes" through by catering to the special interests of the radical left in his party - so we have the stimulus that has been questionable in its effectiveness, but took over the banks, finance companies and the automakers. Now he tries to push his healthcare reform past people who don't want it. At least Reagan only gave lip-service to the radical right and set policies to help the majority of people in this country. If he wants to get re-elected, Obama needs to stop with the radicalism, and get real.
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  • 8/25/2009 4:26 PM crackerjack wrote:
    Obama is apparently picking his road and going further left - he rewards the chump who orchestrated the bank takeover by keeping him on, and he lets his attorney general loose on CIA operatives engaged in preventing terrorism. The only good spot in all of this is that the American people are coming to the realization that Obama is either naive or just married to the far left. Either way he winds up a one-termer.
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  • 8/25/2009 4:36 PM moosejaw wrote:
    Obama ha smore problems than the economy and healthcare now. NY Times report today said the generals are saying that even with the 17K extra troops, the force in Afghanistan is still "insufficient" to meet the needs and objectives of the mission. Bush's War is about to become Obama's War.
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  • 8/31/2009 2:08 PM s.marley wrote:
    I think that this is being looked at wrong. Approaching a problem seeking conciliation and agreement is what all leaders should strrive for - it is not weakness, but strength. The time will come to confront when those opposed to the ideas submitted continue to complain, but provide no alternative of their own. Ideas, especially good ideas, should be accepted and incorporated, no matter the source. Obstructionism with no solutions offered must be faced down.
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